Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Athletic
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
85 New Mexico St. 100.0%   13   25 - 9 12 - 4 25 - 9 12 - 4 +6.2      +4.7 59 +1.5 129 69.7 130 +5.2 96 +1.1 2
200 Utah Valley 0.0%   18 - 11 13 - 3 18 - 11 13 - 3 -2.2      -1.3 209 -0.9 206 60.1 335 +0.2 164 +4.8 1
223 Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0%   12 - 19 5 - 11 12 - 19 5 - 11 -3.5      -2.6 244 -0.8 203 65.2 244 -5.7 259 -9.0 9
235 Grand Canyon 0.0%   12 - 14 10 - 6 12 - 14 10 - 6 -4.2      0.0 180 -4.2 282 70.0 123 -3.2 216 -0.9 3
246 Idaho 0.0%   15 - 18 7 - 9 15 - 18 7 - 9 -4.5      +0.5 160 -5.0 301 69.3 138 -3.8 227 -5.6 6
247 Seattle 0.0%   11 - 17 5 - 11 11 - 17 5 - 11 -4.7      -3.8 271 -0.9 204 69.4 135 -5.5 257 -8.9 8
278 UMKC 0.0%   10 - 19 7 - 9 10 - 19 7 - 9 -6.6      -4.3 278 -2.3 231 75.5 35 -5.9 263 -5.4 5
286 Chicago St. 0.0%   11 - 19 8 - 8 11 - 19 8 - 8 -7.6      -5.0 289 -2.6 239 74.1 49 -5.4 254 -3.7 4
291 UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0%   8 - 23 5 - 11 8 - 23 5 - 11 -8.5      -7.9 333 -0.5 188 67.1 193 -9.4 301 -8.3 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
New Mexico St. 2.0 100.0
Utah Valley 1.0 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 7.0 100.0
Grand Canyon 3.0 100.0
Idaho 5.0 100.0
Seattle 7.0 100.0
UMKC 5.0 100.0
Chicago St. 4.0 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
New Mexico St. 12 - 4 100.0
Utah Valley 13 - 3 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 5 - 11 100.0
Grand Canyon 10 - 6 100.0
Idaho 7 - 9 100.0
Seattle 5 - 11 100.0
UMKC 7 - 9 100.0
Chicago St. 8 - 8 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 5 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
New Mexico St.
Utah Valley 100.0% 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield
Grand Canyon
Idaho
Seattle
UMKC
Chicago St.
UT Rio Grande Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
New Mexico St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   7.0 68.6 24.3 0.1
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grand Canyon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
New Mexico St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 16.9% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grand Canyon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 16.9% 0.2 83.1 16.9
Sweet Sixteen 4.6% 0.0 95.4 4.6
Elite Eight 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0